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Chinese  Materia  Medica  and  Other  Herbal  Medicines  –  the  Impact  of

               Climate Change and Rising Global Demands on Sustainability Sourcing


                                                  1
                                                                        1
               Michael Heinrich,*  ,1,2  Banaz Jalil,  Inggritha Takubessi,  Olha Mykhailenko 1,3,4

               1  Pharmacognosy and Phytotherapy Group, UCL School of Pharmacy WC 1N 1AX, United
                 Kingdom
               2  Chinese Medicine Research Centre, College of Chinese Medicine, China Medical University,
                 Taichung, Taiwan
               3  National University of Pharmacy, Kharkiv, Ukraine;
               4  Department of Pharmaceutical Biology, Kiel University, Kiel, Germany
               * E-mail: m.heinrich@ucl.ac.uk

               Abstract
                  Climate change and human activities severely impact plants and ecosystems, threatening
               biodiversity,  healthcare  resources,  and  sustainable  development  of  plant-based  products.
               Medicinal  plants,  including  Chinese  materia  medica,  are  widely  traded  and  provide  key
               ecosystem services, but face increasing risks to their long-term viability. However, these species
               are  also  relevant  for  ecosystem  services  including  climate  mitigation,  and  for  their  socio-
               economic role.
                  Recently, we proposed a new framework for assessing the impact of climate change and more
               generally the sustainable sourcing of natural products and herbal medicines (Mykhailenko et al
               2025), including the main factors to better understand and address the vulnerability of a species,
               hence mitigate the impact of climate change. Biotic and abiotic (ecosystem) determinants affect
               species distribution and long-term survival, which in turn influence the quality of plants used
               as herbal medicines and other high-value products. Four research priorities emerge: climate
               effects,  bioeconomic  drivers,  habitat  conditions  (incl.  human  pressure),  and  reproductive
               success.
                  In a scoping review we are currently assessing the state of research on how climate change
               affects medicinal plants, focusing on ecological shifts, traditional uses, changes in secondary
               metabolites,  and  adaptation  strategies  (Takubessi  et  al.,  n.d.).  Research  output  has  rapidly
               expanded, dominated by studies on Asian resources, especially China, with limited coverage of
               Africa, Europe, and South America. So far, 357 species have been assessed, including climate-
               sensitive high-altitude taxa. Shifts in secondary metabolite production, linked to stress factors
               such as drought, indicate a need for new analytical methods.
                  Conservation gaps remain severe: 40.6% of species are classified as threatened by IUCN,
               while 59.4% remain unevaluated. Species Distribution Modeling (SDM), especially MaxEnt,
               is the main tool for vulnerability assessment.
                  Climate change is reshaping both ecology and pharmacological value of medicinal plants.
               This  requires  refocused  research,  sustainable  sourcing,  and  better  regulation  of  which
               products—such as supplements or cosmetics—can be safely commercialised.

               Keywords: TCM; Endangered medicinal plants; Ecosystem factors; Climate change; Natural
                           compounds







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